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Spain's housing crisis explained: why rents soared and what it means if you move here

Photo: Joanbanjo, CC BY-SA 3.0

Housing12 min readOctober 25, 2026

Spain's housing crisis explained: why rents soared and what it means if you move here

Asking rents in Valencia have roughly doubled since early 2021. A plain explanation of why, of the part foreigners and tourist flats really play, and of what you can expect to pay as a newcomer.

Last verified: October 25, 2026

If you are planning a move to Spain, the first number that surprises you is usually the rent. In Valencia, the asking rents tracked by Fotocasa's index averaged EUR 19 per square metre in October 2026, 17.7% more than a year earlier. In early 2021 the same index stood at about EUR 9.

Newcomers often hear two opposite stories. One says foreigners and tourist flats caused the crisis; the other says they have nothing to do with it. The official data tells a more useful story, and this guide walks through it with Valencia as the worked example.

You will find the structural causes first, then the real weight of foreign buyers, tourist flats and newcomers like you, what the authorities are doing in 2026, and finally what to budget and how to avoid paying a premium. If you are mainly here for the practical side, our guide to renting in Valencia goes step by step.

How much have rents in Valencia risen?

There are two ways to measure rents in Spain, and they give different answers. Portal indexes such as Fotocasa's track asking prices on new listings. That is what you will see when you search, and it is the figure that has doubled since 2021.

The national statistics office, INE, measures something else: the rent actually paid on all contracts, new and old, from landlords' tax returns. On that measure rents in the city of Valencia rose 5.9% in 2024 and 36.4% between 2015 and 2024, both the highest of any provincial capital in Spain.

The gap between the two matters to you. Across Spain, INE found that rents on contracts signed in 2024 rose 8.8%, against 2.8% on contracts that already existed. A newcomer always signs a new contract, so you pay the market price of today, not the average that long-standing tenants pay.

The main cause of Spain's housing crisis: too few homes for too many new households

Spain's central bank puts the shortage plainly. In its 2025 annual report, the Banco de España counts about 240,000 new households in 2025 against 92,000 homes completed, and a cumulative gap of roughly 750,000 homes between 2021 and 2025.

That gap equals 3.7% of all households, more than double the figure for Italy, while France roughly kept pace. Half of the shortfall sits in six provinces, and Valencia is one of them, alongside Madrid, Barcelona, Alicante, Murcia and Málaga.

Why so little building? The same report points to a shortage of land ready to build on, slow planning procedures and a construction sector of small firms with limited capacity. Homes take years to go from plan to keys, so a shortage built up since 2021 cannot be fixed in a year or two.

New apartment blocks behind an old farmhouse on the northern approach to Valencia, photographed in 2016.

Photo: Dorieo, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who is creating the demand? Population growth, smaller households and more renters

Demand has grown fast. The city of Valencia had 789,744 registered residents in 2021 and 840,792 in 2025, about 51,000 more people in four years.

Households are also getting smaller, which means more homes for the same population. The Banco de España notes that the average Spanish household fell from about 2.75 people in 2007 to around 2.5 in 2025.

Most of the extra demand goes to the rental market. The central bank finds that the largest rise in demand for rentals comes from new residents born outside Spain and from young people. In the Valencian Community the stock of rented homes grew by an average of 13.7% a year between 2020 and 2025, against 6.4% in the Madrid region.

Do foreign buyers push up prices in Valencia? What the numbers say

Foreign buyers are real, but in Valencia they are not the main story. The land registrars' statistics show that people of foreign nationality made 13.52% of home purchases in Spain and 11.90% in the province of Valencia in the last quarter of 2025, against 42.91% in Alicante. Those figures include foreigners who live and work in Spain.

Buyers who do not live in Spain are a smaller group. The Banco de España puts them at 7.4% of all purchases between 2021 and 2025, and at about 30,000 net purchases in 2025. Compare that with the 240,000 new households formed the same year.

Their weight is concentrated on the coast and the islands: 33.3% of purchases in Alicante and 27.9% in Málaga, against 1.6% in Madrid and 2.2% in Barcelona. We found no study that measures how much foreign buyers have added to rents in the city of Valencia, so be wary of anyone quoting a precise percentage.

Tourist flats in Valencia: a small share of homes, concentrated in the old town

INE counts the holiday lets advertised on the main platforms. In May 2026 it found 5,393 tourist dwellings in the city of Valencia, 1.3% of its homes, down from 5,852 in November 2025. Across Spain the count was 341,001.

A share of 1.3% sounds small, but the Banco de España points out that tourist flats make up about 10% of the rental market nationally and cluster in historic centres, where they compete directly with homes for residents. Every piso turístico () in a central street is one fewer long-term rental there.

Valencia has tightened the rules. Under the city's regulation approved on 31 March 2026, tourist flats may not exceed 2% of the homes in any barrio or district and are allowed only on ground or first floors of mixed-use buildings, with their own access from the street. Ciutat Vella has its own separate rules.

Where Carrer de la Sabateria dels Xiquets meets Carrer dels Assaonadors, in Ciutat Vella, January 2024.

Photo: Ximonic (Simo Räsänen), CC BY-SA 4.0

Interest rates and investors: why buyers became renters

Money got more expensive just as prices rose. The European Central Bank's deposit rate went from minus 0.50% until July 2022 to 4.00% in September 2023. It was cut to 2.00% in June 2025 and raised to 2.50% in September 2026.

Higher mortgage costs kept many would-be buyers renting for longer. The Banco de España records that home ownership in Spain, above 80% in 2007, has been falling since the financial crisis while renting grows.

Investors play a part, but the public data is thinner than the debate suggests. Companies bought about 10% of homes in Spain in 2025, in line with the average since 2020, according to notaries' data cited by the central bank. We found no official figure for how many rented homes in Valencia belong to investment funds.

Wages against rents: how much Valencia tenants spend on housing

Rents have risen faster than pay. In 2024 tenants in the city of Valencia spent on average 30.2% of their net income on rent, against 26.7% across Spain, according to the Banco de España. Foreign tenants spent 27.9% nationally.

For young people the picture is harsher. A couple setting up home on two equal young salaries would need close to 50% of their income to rent in Valencia, Madrid, Málaga or Barcelona.

This is why the topic is so charged locally. If you arrive with a salary from abroad, you may find Valencia cheap, while many young people who grew up here struggle to afford it. Knowing that helps you understand the conversations you will hear.

Apartment towers on Avinguda de Blasco Ibáñez in Valencia, photographed in 2008.

Photo: Joanbanjo, CC BY-SA 3.0

Spain's housing law and Valencia's rules in 2026: what applies to you

The 2023 housing law allows rent caps on new contracts, but only in an officially declared zona tensionada (), a stressed-market area, and only once the regional government asks for it. As of 20 October 2026 five regions had done so, covering 317 municipalities: Catalonia, the Basque Country, Navarre, Galicia and Asturias. The Valencian Community is not one of them, so no rent cap applies to a new contract in Valencia.

Inside a contract, the annual rent update cannot exceed the official reference index, the IRAV, under article 18 of the tenancy law. A decree in force since 8 October 2026, Real Decreto-ley 29/2026, goes further: unless both sides agree otherwise, updates due before the end of 2027 are limited to 2%. It also regulates seasonal and room lets. It replaces an earlier decree that Congress did not ratify, and it still has to be ratified itself, so check its status before you rely on it.

Two measures aimed at foreign money are often misreported. The residence permit for buying property, the golden visa, ended on 3 April 2025; see our golden visa page for what remains. The 100% tax on home purchases by buyers resident outside the EU was a bill filed in May 2025, and Congress lists it as lapsed on 6 October 2026. It never became law.

Your impact on rents as an expat or future newcomer

Moving to Valencia adds one household to a market that is short of homes, exactly like a young local leaving home or a worker arriving from another city. On its own, one newcomer does not move prices.

The effect adds up in specific ways. Newcomers who earn foreign salaries can accept higher asking rents than local wages support, and they tend to look in the same few barrios, such as Ruzafa, El Carmen or L'Eixample. Landlords notice, and the next listing goes up a little. We found no study that measures this effect for Valencia, but the mechanism is the one the Banco de España describes for new contracts.

Short contracts add to it. Many arrivals start on a contrato de temporada (), a seasonal let, often furnished and priced above a long-term contract. That segment is exactly what the October 2026 decree targets, because long stays on seasonal contracts take homes out of the regular rental market.

What a newcomer should budget for rent in Valencia

Start from the city average and adjust by area. At EUR 19 per square metre in October 2026, a 50 m² (about 538 sq ft) one-bedroom flat comes to about EUR 950 a month, a 70 m² (about 753 sq ft) two-bedroom flat about EUR 1,330, and a 90 m² (about 969 sq ft) three-bedroom flat about EUR 1,710. These are our sums on Fotocasa's average asking price, not quotes, and the final rent you agree can differ.

Districts vary a lot. The same index ranges from about EUR 14 per square metre in Patraix and Pobles del Sud to EUR 21 in Ciutat Vella and L'Eixample, so a 70 m² (about 753 sq ft) flat costs roughly EUR 980 in the cheaper districts and EUR 1,470 in the central ones. Our neighbourhood guides show the figure for each barrio.

Then add the money you pay up front. The law requires a fianza (), a security deposit of one month's rent, under article 36 of the tenancy law, and allows an additional guarantee of up to two more months on contracts of up to five years. With the first month's rent, plan for up to four months' rent when you sign. Our cost of living guide puts the rent next to the rest of a monthly budget.

How to avoid paying a newcomer premium on your Valencia rent

Check the asking price against the index for the district before you make an offer. A flat priced well above its district average needs a reason, such as a terrace or a renovated kitchen.

Refuse agency fees. Under article 20 of the tenancy law, the costs of finding the tenant and drawing up the contract cannot be passed on to you, whatever name they are given. Do not accept a guarantee above the legal limits either.

If you plan to stay, ask for a long-term contract for your main home. It runs for at least five years, or seven if the landlord is a company, with capped yearly updates. Our guide to long-term and temporary contracts explains the difference.

Look beyond the three most wanted barrios, and beyond the city itself: several towns near Valencia are one metro ride away. If you would rather have someone search for you, our home-finding service does the viewings and checks the contract.

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Michael Bastin, founder of ValenciaMove

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Michael Bastin

Founder, ValenciaMove - Valencia since 2016

Michael has lived in Valencia since 2016 and helps people move here.

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Spain's housing crisis: questions from newcomers

Are foreigners to blame for Spain's housing crisis?
Not mainly. The Banco de España puts the root cause in supply: about 750,000 fewer homes built than households formed between 2021 and 2025. Buyers who live abroad made 7.4% of purchases in that period and weigh most on the coast and islands, such as Alicante and Málaga. New residents, foreign and Spanish, add to rental demand like any other new household.
Is Valencia a stressed-market area with rent caps?
No. As of October 2026 the Valencian Community has not asked for any zone to be declared under the 2023 housing law, so there is no cap on the rent of a new contract in Valencia. Yearly updates within a contract are still capped by the official IRAV index.
Can I still get a residence permit by buying a home in Spain?
No. The investor residence permit linked to buying property, often called the golden visa, ended on 3 April 2025 under Organic Law 1/2025. Buying a home no longer gives you a right to live in Spain.
How much deposit can a landlord ask for in Spain?
One month's rent as the legal deposit, the fianza, plus an additional guarantee of up to two months on contracts of up to five years, or seven if the landlord is a company. Agency fees for finding a tenant and drawing up the contract must be paid by the landlord.
Will rents in Valencia keep rising?
Nobody can say for sure. The Banco de España describes a housing supply that reacts slowly to rising prices, while new rules on tourist flats and seasonal lets aim to return homes to residents. Plan your budget on today's asking prices, not on a fall.

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